Northeastern
W-L: (29-10) PR = 96.5759Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 927 H Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 6- 0 1003 H RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 3- 2 1004 H RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 3- 1 1010 H Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 4- 0 1011 H RPI CAC ( 7-28, 93.4) 6- 1 1017 A Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 3- 5 1017 A Harvard CAC (16-15, 95.7) 0- 6 1018 A Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 2- 4 1031 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 3- 1 1101 H Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 7- 3 1107 H Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 3- 0 1108 H Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 3- 2 1114 H Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 4- 1 1115 A Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 5- 0 1121 A Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 3- 1 1122 A Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 2- 1 1128 H Penn State TL (35- 7, 97.8) 3- 2 1129 H Penn State TL (35- 7, 97.8) 1- 4 1202 H New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 3- 4 1205 A Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 3- 1 1206 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 4- 2 106 A Yale CAC (26-10, 97.0) 0- 3 109 A Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 5- 2 113 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 1- 2 117 A New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 2- 1 124 A Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 1- 0 125 A Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 4- 2 129 H Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 2- 2 131 A Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 2- 1 205 H Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 5- 1 207 A Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 3- 2 213 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 5- 2 215 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 0- 1 220 A Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 3- 2 221 A Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 4- 2 228 H Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 2- 1 303 H Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 3- 1 307 H Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 1- 2 314 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 4- 2 320 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 0- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
927 H Wisconsin 6- 0 6 -3 +++ 8.84
1003 H RIT 3- 2 1 2 -0.78
1004 H RIT 3- 1 2 2 0.22
1010 H Providence 4- 0 4 3 0.91
1011 H RPI 6- 1 5 4 1.46
1017 A Quinnipiac 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.71
1017 A Harvard 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.51
1018 A Quinnipiac 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.71
1031 A Boston University 3- 1 2 2 0.08
1101 H Boston University 7- 3 4 3 1.29
1107 H Vermont 3- 0 3 2 0.69
1108 H Vermont 3- 2 1 2 -1.31
1114 H Merrimack 4- 1 3 4 -0.59
1115 A Merrimack 5- 0 5 3 + 2.19
1121 A Maine 3- 1 2 2 0.33
1122 A Maine 2- 1 1 2 -0.67
1128 H Penn State 3- 2 1 -1 1.85
1129 H Penn State 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.15
1202 H New Hampshire 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.76
1205 A Boston College 3- 1 2 1 0.56
1206 H Boston College 4- 2 2 2 -0.23
106 A Yale 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.21
109 A Providence 5- 2 3 2 0.69
113 A Boston University 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.92
117 A New Hampshire 2- 1 1 1 0.03
125 A Connecticut 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.63
129 H Holy Cross 2- 2 0 2 - -2.12
131 A Holy Cross 2- 1 1 1 -0.33
205 H Maine 5- 1 4 2 1.55
207 A Vermont 3- 2 1 2 -0.52
213 A Boston University 5- 2 3 2 1.08
220 A Connecticut 3- 2 1 -1 1.63
221 A Providence 4- 2 2 2 -0.31
228 H Boston University 2- 1 1 3 -1.71
303 H Vermont 3- 1 2 2 -0.31
307 H Connecticut 1- 2 -1 0 -1.15
314 A Minnesota 4- 2 2 -2 ++ 4.01
320 H Ohio State 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1017 A Harvard 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.51 1129 H Penn State 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.15 1202 H New Hampshire 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.76 106 A Yale 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.21 113 A Boston University 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.92 129 H Holy Cross 2- 2 0 2 - -2.12 320 H Ohio State 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 H Wisconsin 6- 0 6 -3 +++ 8.84 314 A Minnesota 4- 2 2 -2 ++ 4.01 1115 A Merrimack 5- 0 5 3 + 2.19 125 A Connecticut 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.63 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 6- 0 -0.09 7.91 -0.39 0.92 13.76
3 H RIT (17-20, 95.2) 3- 2 -4.71 3.29 -0.39 0.92 5.31
3 H RIT (17-20, 95.2) 3- 1 -4.71 3.29 -0.39 0.92 5.31
3 H Providence (12-25, 93.9) 4- 0 -6.02 1.98 -0.39 0.92 2.90
3 H RPI ( 7-28, 93.4) 6- 1 -6.47 1.53 -0.39 0.92 2.09
3 A Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 3- 5 -2.42 5.58 0.39 0.92 -0.93
3 A Harvard (16-15, 95.7) 0- 6 -4.22 3.78 0.39 0.92 -1.75
3 A Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 2- 4 -2.42 5.58 0.39 0.92 -0.93
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 3- 1 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.92 5.05
3 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 7- 3 -5.64 2.37 -0.39 0.92 3.61
3 H Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 3- 0 -5.24 2.76 -0.39 0.92 4.34
3 H Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.24 2.76 -0.39 0.92 4.34
3 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 4- 1 -6.52 1.48 -0.39 0.92 1.99
3 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 5- 0 -6.52 1.48 0.39 0.92 3.43
3 A Maine (12-21, 94.5) 3- 1 -5.38 2.62 0.39 0.92 5.51
3 A Maine (12-21, 94.5) 2- 1 -5.38 2.62 0.39 0.92 5.51
3 H Penn State (35- 7, 97.8) 3- 2 -2.08 5.92 -0.39 0.92 10.12
3 H Penn State (35- 7, 97.8) 1- 4 -2.08 5.92 -0.39 0.92 -1.13
3 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 3- 4 -4.69 3.31 -0.39 0.92 -2.33
3 A Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 3- 1 -5.16 2.84 0.39 0.92 5.92
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 4- 2 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 0.92 4.48
3 A Yale (26-10, 97.0) 0- 3 -2.92 5.08 0.39 0.92 -1.16
3 A Providence (12-25, 93.9) 5- 2 -6.02 1.98 0.39 0.92 4.34
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 1- 2 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.92 -2.40
3 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 2- 1 -4.69 3.31 0.39 0.92 6.78
3 A Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 1- 0 -3.08 4.92 0.39 0.92 9.73
3 A Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 4- 2 -3.08 4.92 0.39 0.92 9.73
3 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 2- 2 -5.05 2.95 -0.39 0.92 0.00
3 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 2- 1 -5.05 2.95 0.39 0.92 6.12
3 H Maine (12-21, 94.5) 5- 1 -5.38 2.62 -0.39 0.92 4.08
3 A Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.24 2.76 0.39 0.92 5.78
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 5- 2 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.92 5.05
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 0- 1 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 0.92 -2.54
3 A Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 3- 2 -3.08 4.92 0.39 0.92 9.73
3 A Providence (12-25, 93.9) 4- 2 -6.02 1.98 0.39 0.92 4.34
3 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 2- 1 -5.64 2.37 -0.39 0.92 3.61
3 H Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 3- 1 -5.24 2.76 -0.39 0.92 4.34
3 H Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 1- 2 -3.08 4.92 -0.39 0.92 -1.59
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 4- 2 -1.70 6.30 0.39 0.92 12.26
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 0- 5 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 0.92 -0.18
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154.63
|
winning pts = 169.5802 losing points = -14.9474
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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